Factors Impacting Microwave Ablation Zone Sizes: A Retrospective Analysis.

PURPOSE: Evaluation of the influence of intrinsic and extrinsic conditions on ablation zone volumes (AZV) after microwave ablation (MWA). METHODS: Retrospective analysis of 38 MWAs of therapy-naïve liver tumours performed with the NeuWave PR probe. Ablations were performed either in the 'standard mode' (65 W, 10 min) or in the 'surgical mode' (95 W, 1 min, then 65 W, 10 min). AZV measurements were obtained from contrast-enhanced computed tomography immediately post-ablation. RESULTS: AZVs in the 'standard mode' were smaller than predicted by the manufacturer (length 3.6 ± 0.6 cm, 23% below 4.7 cm; width 2.7 ± 0.6, 23% below 3.5 cm). Ablation zone past the tip was limited to 6 mm in 28/32 ablations. Differences in AZV between the 'surgical mode' and 'standard mode' were not significant (15.6 ± 7.8 mL vs. 13.9 ± 8.8 mL, p = 0.6). AZVs were significantly larger in case of hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) (n = 19) compared to metastasis (n = 19; 17.8 ± 9.9 mL vs. 10.1 ± 5.1 mL, p = 0.01) and in non-perivascular tumour location (n = 14) compared to perivascular location (n = 24, 18.7 ± 10.4 mL vs. 11.7 ± 6.1 mL, p = 0.012), with both factors remaining significant in two-way analysis of variance (HCC vs. metastasis: p = 0.02; perivascular vs. non-perivascular tumour location: p = 0.044). CONCLUSION: Larger AZVs can be expected in cases of HCCs compared with metastases and in non-perivascular locations. Using the 'surgical mode' does not increase AZV significantly.

Promising Results of Associating Liver Partition and Portal Vein Ligation for Staged Hepatectomy for Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma in a Systematic Review and Single-Arm Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: ALPPS popularity is increasing among surgeons worldwide and its indications are expanding to cure patients with primarily unresectable liver tumors. Few reports recommended limitations or even contraindications of ALPPS in perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (phCC). Here, we discuss the results of ALPPS in patients with phCC in a systematic review as well as a pooled data analysis. METHODS: MEDLINE and Web of Science databases were systematically searched for relevant literature up to December 2023. All studies reporting ALPPS in the management of phCC were included. A single-arm meta-analysis of proportions was carried out to estimate the overall rate of outcomes. RESULTS: After obtaining 207 articles from the primary search, data of 18 studies containing 112 phCC patients were included in our systematic review. Rates of major morbidity and mortality were calculated to be 43% and 22%, respectively. The meta-analysis revealed a PHLF rate of 23%. One-year disease-free survival was 65% and one-year overall survival was 69%. CONCLUSIONS: ALPPS provides a good chance of cure for patients with phCC in comparison to alternative treatment options, but at the expense of debatable morbidity and mortality. With refinement of the surgical technique and better perioperative patient management, the results of ALPPS in patients with phCC were improved.

Durvalumab Plus Gemcitabine and Cisplatin in Patients with Advanced Biliary Tract Cancer: An Exploratory Analysis of Real-World Data.

BACKGROUND: The combination of gemcitabine and cisplatin (gem/cis) with the anti-PD-L1-antibody durvalumab was recently approved as first line therapy for biliary tract cancer (BTC) based on the results of the TOPAZ-1 trial. OBJECTIVE: We aim to analyse the feasibility and efficacy of the triple combination therapy in patients with BTC in a real-world setting and in correspondence with the genetic alterations of the cancer. METHODS: In this single-centre retrospective analysis, all patients with BTC and treated with durvalumab plus gem/cis from April 2022 to September 2023 were included. Survival and treatment response were investigated, within the context of the inclusion and exclusion criteria of TOPAZ-1 and in correspondence with genetic alterations of the cancer. RESULTS: In total, 35 patients, of which 51% met the inclusion criteria of the TOPAZ-1 trial, were analysed. Patients treated within TOPAZ-1 criteria did not have a significantly different median overall survival and progression free survival than the rest of the patients (10.3 versus 9.7 months and 5.3 versus 5 months, respectively). The disease control rate of patients within the TOPAZ-1 criteria was 61.1%, in comparison to 58.8% in the rest of patients. A total of 51 grade 3 and 4 adverse events were observed without significant differences in the subgroups. No specific correlating patterns of genetic alterations with survival and response were observed. CONCLUSIONS: The treatment of advanced patients with BTC with durvalumab and gem/cis, even beyond the inclusion criteria of the TOPAZ-1 trial, shows promising safety.

Risk factors and management of biliary leakage after Endocystectomy for hepatic cystic echinococcosis.

BACKGROUND: Endocystectomy is a conservative surgical approach to managing cystic echinococcosis. Bile leakage is the main complication of this technique. The aim of this study was to evaluate the factors associated with bile leakage and to assess the outcomes and cost efficiency of strategies used to treat bile leakage. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Patients who underwent endocystectomy between 2005 and 2020 were included. The preoperative characteristics, intra- and postoperative outcomes, hospital costs, and cost efficiency (the Diagnosis-Related Group reimbursement minus the overall cost) were evaluated prospectively. A total of eighty patients with 142 cysts were included. Postoperative complications occurred in 17 patients (21%), including 11 patients with bile leakage (type A: 1, type B: 6 and type C: 4 patients, total 13%). Bile leakage was more frequent in patients with preoperative MRI signs of cysto-biliary fistulas or intraoperative visible cysto-biliary fistulas (p = 0.03 and p = 0.04, respectively) and in patients with cysts larger than 8 cm (p = 0.03). Patients with bile leakage who underwent reoperation (type C) had significantly shorter hospital stays (9 vs. 16 days, p<0.01) and better cost efficiency than those who received radiologic or endocscopic interventions (€2,072 vs. -€2,097 p = 0.01). No mortality was observed, and recurrence was seen in two patients. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Endocystectomy is a safe and efficient technique. Preoperative and intraoperative cysto-biliary fistulas and a cyst diameter larger than 8 cm are correlated to postoperative bile leakage. Early operative management of bile leakage reduces hospital stay and improves cost efficiency compared with radiologic or endoscopic treatments.

Association of perioperative use of statins, metformin, and aspirin with recurrence after curative liver resection in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A propensity score matching analysis.

BACKGROUND: Statins, metformin, and aspirin have been reported to reduce the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the effect of their perioperative use on survival outcomes of HCC patients following curative liver resection still remains unclear. METHOD: Three hundred and fifty three patients with a first diagnosis of HCC who underwent curative liver resection were included. Propensity score matching analysis with a users: nonusers ratio of 1:2 were performed for each of the medications (statins, metformin, and aspirin). Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were evaluated and multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed. RESULTS: Sixty two patients received statins, 48 patients used metformin, and 53 patients received aspirin for ≥90 days before surgery. None of the medications improved OS. RFS of statin users was significantly longer than that of nonusers (p = 0.021) in the matched cohort. Users of hydrophilic statins, but not lipophilic ones had a significantly longer RFS than nonusers. Multivariable analysis showed that statin use significantly improved RFS (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.41, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.17-0.97, p = 0.044). No difference was seen in RFS between metformin users and nonusers. Among patients with diabetes, RFS was nonsignificantly longer in metformin users than in non-metformin users (84.1% vs. 60.85%, p = 0.069) in the matched cohort. No difference in postoperative RFS was seen between aspirin users and nonusers. CONCLUSION: Preoperative use of statins in patients with HCC can increase RFS after curative liver resection, but metformin and aspirin were not associated with improved survival. Randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm the findings of the present study.

Identification of NOX4 as a New Biomarker in Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Its Effect on Sorafenib Therapy.

To improve the survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), new biomarkers and therapeutic targets are urgently needed. In this study, the GEO and TCGA dataset were used to explore the differential co-expressed genes and their prognostic correlation between HCC and normal samples. The mRNA levels of these genes were validated by qRT-PCR in 20 paired fresh HCC samples. The results demonstrated that the eight-gene model was effective in predicting the prognosis of HCC patients in the validation cohorts. Based on qRT-PCR results, NOX4 was selected to further explore biological functions within the model and 150 cases of paraffin-embedded HCC tissues were scored for NOX4 immunohistochemical staining. We found that the NOX4 expression was significantly upregulated in HCC and was associated with poor survival. In terms of function, the knockdown of NOX4 markedly inhibited the progression of HCC in vivo and in vitro. Mechanistic studies suggested that NOX4 promotes HCC progression through the activation of the epithelial-mesenchymal transition. In addition, the sensitivity of HCC cells to sorafenib treatment was obviously decreased after NOX4 overexpression. Taken together, this study reveals NOX4 as a potential therapeutic target for HCC and a biomarker for predicting the sorafenib treatment response.

Identifying Proliferative Hepatocellular Carcinoma at Pretreatment CT: Implications for Therapeutic Outcomes after Transarterial Chemoembolization.

Background Hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) can be divided into proliferative and nonproliferative types, which may have implications for outcomes after conventional transarterial chemoembolization (cTACE). Biopsy to identify proliferative HCC is not routinely performed before cTACE. Purpose To develop and validate a predictive model for identifying proliferative HCCs using CT imaging features and to compare therapeutic outcomes between predicted proliferative and nonproliferative HCCs after cTACE according to this model. Materials and Methods This retrospective multicenter study included adults with HCC who underwent liver resection or cTACE between August 2013 and December 2020. A CT-based predictive model for identifying proliferative HCCs was developed and externally validated in a cohort that underwent resection. Diagnostic performance was calculated for the model. Thereafter, patients in the cTACE cohort were stratified into groups with predicted proliferative or nonproliferative HCCs according to the model. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS), and the secondary outcomes were tumor response rate and progression-free survival (PFS). These were compared between the two groups with use of the χ2 test and the log-rank test. Results A total of 1194 patients (1021 men; mean age, 54 years ± 12 [SD]; median follow-up time, 29.1 months) were included. The predictive model, named the SMARS score, incorporated lobulated shape, mosaic architecture, α-fetoprotein levels, rim arterial phase hyperenhancement, and satellite lesions. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the SMARS score was 0.83 for the training cohort and 0.80 for the validation cohort. According to the SMARS score, patients with predicted proliferative HCCs (n = 114) had lower tumor response rate (48% vs 71%; P < .001) and worse PFS (6.6 months vs 12.4 months; P < .001) and OS (14.4 months vs 38.7 months; P < .001) than those with nonproliferative HCCs (n = 263). Conclusion The predictive model demonstrated good performance for identifying proliferative HCCs. According to the SMARS score, patients with predicted proliferative HCCs have worse prognosis than those with predicted nonproliferative HCCs after cTACE. © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article.

[Intra-abdominal vascular injuries after blunt abdominal trauma]. / Intraabdominelle Gefäßverletzungen nach stumpfem Bauchtrauma.

Vascular injuries and hemorrhaging are serious potential complications in the management of patients with blunt abdominal trauma. The treatment depends on the extent and localization and can range from surveillance to endovascular treatment up to open surgery. The keys to success include the focused assessment with sonography for trauma (FAST) management and timely decision making. Abdominal vascular trauma continues to be a difficult problem and open and endovascular techniques continue to evolve in order to address this complex disease process.

Declined Organs for Liver Transplantation: A Right Decision or a Missed Opportunity for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma?

BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation is the only promising treatment for end-stage liver disease and patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. However, too many organs are rejected for transplantation. METHODS: We analyzed the factors involved in organ allocation in our transplant center and reviewed all livers that were declined for transplantation. Reasons for declining organs for transplantation were categorized as major extended donor criteria (maEDC), size mismatch and vascular problems, medical reasons and risk of disease transmission, and other reasons. The fate of the declined organs was analyzed. RESULTS: 1086 declined organs were offered 1200 times. A total of 31% of the livers were declined because of maEDC, 35.5% because of size mismatch and vascular problems, 15.8% because of medical reasons and risk of disease transmission, and 20.7% because of other reasons. A total of 40% of the declined organs were allocated and transplanted. A total of 50% of the organs were completely discarded, and significantly more of these grafts had maEDC than grafts that were eventually allocated (37.5% vs. 17.7%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Most organs were declined because of poor organ quality. Donor-recipient matching at time of allocation and organ preservation must be improved by allocating maEDC grafts using individualized algorithms that avoid high-risk donor-recipient combinations and unnecessary organ declination.

An Integrated Liver Function, Systemic Inflammation, and Tumor Characteristic Score Predicts Prognosis in Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Resection.

BACKGROUND: Several scoring systems are currently used to predict prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but none of them integrates liver function, systemic inflammation, and tumor characteristics in a unified model. The current study aimed to develop and validate a novel prognostic score that integrates liver function, systemic inflammation, and tumor characteristics in a unified model to predict the prognosis of HCC after curative resection. METHODS: Patients with HCC who underwent curative liver resection were included in a training set (n = 1027). Multivariate Cox regression was performed to determine the risk factors for a poor prognosis. A prognostic score was developed by assigning points for risk factors in proportion to beta coefficients in a Cox multivariable model. Predictive performance and distinction ability of the prognostic score were further evaluated in two independent validation cohorts treated with either curative resection (n = 281) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) (n = 404) and compared with 16 other models. RESULTS: The prognostic predictive system, named the function-inflammation-burden-alpha-fetoprotein (FIBA) score, was derived by assigning points for six independent predictors including albumin, total bilirubin, lymphocyte count, diameter of the largest tumor, number of tumors, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). The FIBA score showed an outperformed predictive value compared with other systems in both training and validation cohorts by giving the highest C-index, likelihood ratio chi-square values, and Wald test values as well as the lowest Akaike information criterion. CONCLUSION: The FIBA score can be used to stratify HCC patients treated with curative resection. Meanwhile, the FIBA score performs well against other prognostic scoring systems and is potentially broadly applicable to a TACE-treated patient cohort.

Ideal patients for liver resection in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer or Hong Kong Liver clinic systems for hepatocellular carcinoma: Conservative or aggressive?

Background: Both the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging and the Hong Kong Liver Cancer (HKLC) staging have their own definitions of ideal patients for liver resection (IPLR) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to compare the prognosis of IPLRs between the BCLC and HKLC staging systems, and to identify patients who may benefit from liver resection (LR) in the HKLC staging but beyond the BCLC staging. Methods: This retrospective study evaluated 1,296 consecutive patients with HCC who underwent LR between August 2013 and April 2021 (457 patients and 1,046 patients were IPLR according to the BCLC and HKLC staging systems, respectively). Overall survival (OS) was compared between the two groups. To assess potential benefit of LR for IPLR in the HKLC staging but beyond the BCLC staging, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to determine prognostic factors of OS, and prognostic stratification was performed based on the selected prognostic factors. The IPLRs in the HKLC staging but beyond the BCLC staging were divided into subgroups according to the prognostic stratification and separately compared with the IPLRs in the BCLC staging. Results: OS was different between the two staging systems (P = 0.011). All the 457 IPLRs in the BCLC staging were also the IPLRs in the HKLC staging. Diameter of the largest tumor5 cm (HR = 1.58; 95% CI: 1.18-2.10; P = 0.002) and liver cirrhosis (HR = 1.61; 95% CI: 1.19-2.20; P = 0.002) were risk factors for poor OS in IPLRs in the HKLC staging but beyond the BCLC staging; hence, patients were divided into the low-risk (n = 104), intermediate-risk (n = 369), and high-risk groups (n = 116) accordingly. There was no difference in OS between patients in the BCLC staging and patients in low-risk group (P = 0.996). However, OS was significantly different between patients in the BCLC staging and those in intermediate-risk (P = 0.003) and high-risk groups (P < 0.001). Conclusion: IPLRs in the BCLC staging system have better prognosis. However, IPLRs in the HKLC staging system but beyond the BCLC staging may have equivalent prognosis to IPLRs in the BCLC staging if the tumor size is ≤ 5 cm and liver cirrhosis is absent.

Liver resection versus microwave ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma in ideal candidates for ablation per Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging: a propensity score matching and inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis.

BACKGROUND: Liver resection (LRE) and microwave ablation (MWA) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have been widely compared. AIMS: To compare the therapeutic outcomes of percutaneous MWA and LRE for HCC in ideal candidates for ablation according to Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging METHODS: Between August 2013 and November 2020, 483 consecutive patients meeting criteria for "ideal candidates for ablation" per the BCLC staging initially treated with MWA (n = 168) or LRE (n = 315) were included. Patients were further divided into BCLC-0 (n = 116) and BCLC-A (n = 367) groups. Overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS) and post-procedure-related complication rates were compared before and after propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) in the overall population and subgroups. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to determine whether the treatment modality was an independent prognostic factor. RESULTS: LRE had a better RFS and similar OS and post-procedure-related complication rates compared to MWA in the overall population and in the BCLC-A subgroup both before and after PSM and IPTW. However, the OS, RFS and post-procedure-related complication rates were equivalent between the two groups before and after PSM and IPTW in patients with BCLC-0 disease. The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that LRE was associated with better RFS over MWA in overall population (p = 0.003; HR = 0.67; 95% CI: 0.51-0.87) and BCLC-A disease (p = 0.046; HR = 0.74; 95% CI: 0.56-0.99), while it did not differ in OS. CONCLUSION: An 'ideal candidate for ablation' according to the BCLC staging system may not be an ideal candidate for MWA. However, patients with BCLC-0 may be the optimal population for MWA.

Precision oncology for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in clinical practice.

BACKGROUND: Advanced cholangiocarcinoma has a poor prognosis. Molecular targeted approaches have been proposed for patients after progression under first-line chemotherapy treatment. Here, molecular profiling of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in combination with a comprehensive umbrella concept was applied in a real-world setting. METHODS: In total, 101 patients received molecular profiling and matched treatment based on interdisciplinary tumour board decisions in a tertiary care setting. Parallel DNA and RNA sequencing of formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumour tissue was performed using large panels. RESULTS: Genetic alterations were detected in 77% of patients and included gene fusions in 21 patients. The latter recurrently involved the FGFR2 and the NRG1 gene loci. The most commonly altered genes were BAP1, ARID1A, FGFR2, IDH1, CDKN2A, CDKN2B, PIK3CA, TP53, ATM, IDH2, BRAF, SMARCA4 and FGFR3. Molecular targets were detected in 59% of patients. Of these, 32% received targeted therapy. The most relevant reason for not initiating therapy was the deterioration of performance status. Patients receiving a molecular-matched therapy showed a significantly higher survival probability compared to patients receiving conventional chemotherapy only (HR: 2.059, 95% CI: 0.9817-4.320, P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Molecular profiling can be successfully translated into clinical treatment of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients and is associated with prolonged survival of patients receiving a molecular-matched treatment.

Validation of the ISGLS classification of bile leakage after pancreatic surgery: A rare but severe complication.

INTRODUCTION: Hepaticoenterostomy is an important step of reconstruction during hepatopancreatobiliary (HPB) surgery with a subsequent bile leakage rate of up to 5%. The International Study Group of Liver Surgery (ISGLS) proposed a severity grading system for defining bile leakage after HPB surgery, which has not been validated after pancreatic surgery in a large patient cohort. The present study aimed to validate the ISGLS definition for bile leakage in pancreatic surgery and to investigate the postoperative outcomes of bile leakage after pancreatic resections. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from the prospectively maintained database for pancreas surgery were extracted for any type of pancreatectomy with hepaticoenterostomy between 2006 and 2019. The severity of bile leakage was graded according to the ISGLS definition. The influence of our standardized hepaticoenterostomy technique and of the complexity of the surgical procedure on the rate of clinically relevant bile leakages (B and C) were assessed in three different timeframes. RESULTS: Bile leakage was detected in 152 of 5,300 patients (2.9%). Clinically relevant bile leakages included seventy patients with grade B and eighty-two patients with grade C bile leakages (46.1% and 53.9%, respectively). During the study period, the overall rate of bile leakage showed to be stable (from 3.5% to 2.4%). Patients with grade C bile leakage had a higher rate of postoperative wound infection (P < 0.001) and longer ICU stays and hospital stays compared to patients with grade B bile leakage (P = 0.03 and P < 0.001 respectively). These parameters were significantly higher in patients with late grade C bile leakage but were similar between patients with grade B bile leakage and early grade C bile leakage (<5th day POD). In the whole patients' cohort, the 90-day mortality rate was 3.2% (174/5,300), with a rate of 25% in patients with bile leakage (38/152). CONCLUSION: The ISGLS classification is a valid method for classifying postoperative bile leak after pancreas surgery. Standardization of our hepaticoenterostomy technique resulted in a stable rate of bile leakage. Although rare, bile leakage following pancreas surgery is a severe complication that has a major impact on patient outcomes and contributes significantly to morbidity and mortality, even in the absence of POPF.

Repeat liver resection for recurrent intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is a relatively rare malignancy. The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate outcomes of repeat liver resection and non-surgical approaches for treatment of recurrent ICC. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases were searched from their inception until March 2021 for studies of patients with recurrent ICC. Studies not published in English were excluded. Two meta-analyses were performed: a single-arm meta-analysis of studies reporting pooled short- and long-term outcomes after repeat liver resection for recurrent ICC (meta-analysis A), and a meta-analysis of studies comparing 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates after repeat liver resection and non-surgical approaches for recurrent ICC (meta-analysis B). RESULTS: Of 543 articles retrieved in the search, 28 were eligible for inclusion. Twenty-four studies (390 patients) were included in meta-analysis A and nine studies (591 patients) in meta-analysis B. After repeat liver resection, 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were 87 (95 per cent c.i. 81 to 91), 58 (48 to 68), and 39 (29 to 50) per cent respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were higher after repeat liver resection than without surgery: odds ratio 2.70 (95 per cent c.i. 1.28 to 5.68), 2.89 (1.15 to 7.27), and 5.91 (1.59, 21.90) respectively. CONCLUSION: Repeat liver resection is a suitable strategy for recurrent ICC in selected patients. It improves short- and long-term outcomes compared with non-surgical treatments.

Tumor Burden in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization: Head-to-Head Comparison of Current Scoring Systems.

Objectives: Recently, several scoring systems for prognosis prediction based on tumor burden have been promoted for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). This multicenter study aimed to perform the first head-to-head comparison of three scoring systems. Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 849 treatment-naïve patients with HCC undergoing TACE at six tertiary care centers between 2010 and 2020. The tumor burden score (TBS), the Six-and-Twelve score (SAT), and the Seven-Eleven criteria (SEC) were calculated based on the maximum lesion size and the number of tumor nodes. All scores were compared in univariate and multivariate regression analyses, adjusted for established risk factors. Results: The median overall survival (OS) times were 33.0, 18.3, and 12.8 months for patients with low, medium, and high TBS, respectively (p<0.001). The median OS times were 30.0, 16.9, and 10.2 months for patients with low, medium, and high SAT, respectively (p<0.001). The median OS times were 27.0, 16.7, and 10.5 for patients with low, medium, and high SEC, respectively (p<0.001). In a multivariate analysis, only the SAT remained an independent prognostic factor. The C-Indexes were 0.54 for the TBS, 0.59 for the SAT, and 0.58 for the SEC. Conclusion: In a direct head-to-head comparison, the SAT was superior to the TBS and SEC in survival stratification and predictive ability. Therefore, the SAT can be considered when estimating the tumor burden. However, all three scores showed only moderate predictive power. Therefore, tumor burden should only be one component among many in treatment decision making.